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第十四章 · Chapter 14
接班:创始人的两难 · Succession: The Founder’s Dilemma
After three decades advising Chinese entrepreneurs, we’ve seen one theme rise steadily in importance: the next generation.
为中国企业家提供咨询三十年后,我们看到一个主题的重要性在稳步上升:下一代。
Succession is the issue that often makes self-made Chinese founders who’ve exercised near-total control over their businesses feel powerless. It’s a complex topic fraught with questions of longevity, family, and legacy—we’ve seen transition projects launched with urgency, only to stall or be quietly abandoned. As one entrepreneur who created a $10 billion retailing empire tells us, “With business matters, I can make decisions very quickly, often in minutes. I can rely on my years of pattern recognition. On succession, everything feels unclear.”
接班问题,常常让那些对企业拥有近乎完全控制权的中国白手起家创始人感到无能为力。这是一个复杂的话题,充满关于延续、家庭和传承的疑问——我们见过一些交接项目紧急启动,却中途搁浅或被悄悄放弃。正如一位缔造了 100 亿美元零售帝国的企业家告诉我们:"业务上的事,我可以非常快地做决定,往往几分钟内。我可以依靠多年积累的模式识别。但关于接班,一切都感觉不清楚。"
And yet, paralysis isn’t inevitable. Founders who confront leadership transitions early and put in place structures to professionalize and institutionalize companies that, for decades, have been driven by entrepreneurial instinct and personal relationships improve their odds of success. The stakes are rising, as the Chinese private sector faces a wave of similarly aged founders facing retirement amid rapid market change and cultural constraints. The companies that endure will be the ones that codify authority before they transfer it.
然而,瘫痪并非不可避免。那些及早直面领导权交接、并建立结构来使几十年来靠企业家本能和个人关系驱动的公司专业化和制度化的创始人,会提高成功的概率。赌注在上升,因为中国民营部门正面临一波年龄相仿的创始人,在市场快速变化和文化约束下走向退休。能够存续的公司,将是那些在移交权力之前先将其成文化的公司。
“Entrepreneurs naturally assume that their children will take over one day,” says Roger King, a finance professor at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology and co-founder of its family business center, “but given how short business cycles are these days, it’s never too early to plan ahead. Most Chinese entrepreneurs leave it until far too late.”
"企业家们自然而然地假设他们的孩子总有一天会接手,"香港科技大学金融学教授、其家族企业研究中心联合创始人金乐琦(Roger King)说,"但鉴于如今商业周期这么短,提前规划永远不会太早。大多数中国企业家拖得太晚了。"
One company that defied this pattern is the agribusiness giant New Hope, which managed a real handover. Founder Yonghao Liu built the company from scratch in 1982, eventually turning it into China’s largest animal feed producer and pig farmer. He didn’t cling to the wheel, and his heir didn’t inherit an empty title. He planned early, arguing that succession was “ not meant for just one person, but for a team and a system.” The philosophy took shape early, even at home. Yonghao has said he deliberately gave his children responsibility through small but concrete tasks from a young age.
一家打破这种模式的公司是农业巨头新希望(New Hope),它完成了真正的交接。创始人刘永好(Yonghao Liu)1982 年白手起家,最终把它做成中国最大的饲料生产商和生猪养殖企业。他没有紧握方向盘不放,他的继承人也没有继承一个空头衔。他很早规划,主张接班"不是为一个人设计的,而是为一个团队和一个系统设计的"。这种理念很早就成形,甚至在家里也是如此。刘永好曾说他从小就有意识地通过细小而具体的任务给孩子责任。
By thirty-three, his daughter, Chang Liu, had become CEO of New Hope Liuhe, the group’s largest operating company. Yonghao imparted upon her real authority to prune underperforming executives, redirect investments, and professionalize the company—even when it unsettled long-standing relationships. When a prolonged crash in pork prices dragged the company into years of losses, Chang doubled down on systems, tightening governance and building management depth. “ I’m not like the heroes of the founding generation… I am the result of a process,” Chang has said.
到三十三岁时,他的女儿刘畅(Chang Liu)已成为集团最大运营公司新希望六和(New Hope Liuhe)的 CEO。刘永好赋予她真正的权力:裁撤表现不佳的高管、重新引导投资、把公司专业化——即使这让长期关系动摇。当猪价长期暴跌把公司拖入多年亏损时,刘畅加倍投入制度建设,收紧治理、打造管理深度。"我不像创始一代的英雄……我是制度流程的结果,"刘畅曾这样说。
These days Yonghao generally stays out of day-to-day management and focuses instead on other investments and larger strategic decisions for the overall group. The journey was far more complex than this account suggests, but the point stands: this transition was executed with foresight and discipline.
如今,刘永好通常不参与日常管理,而是专注于其他投资和整个集团的更大战略决策。这段历程远比这段叙述复杂得多,但要点成立:这次交接是以远见和纪律执行的。
China is heading into a once-in-a-generation handover. Most A-share listed companies are private rather than state-owned, and a significant share are family-controlled, making family enterprises a core pillar of China’s private sector. Further, among China’s top five hundred private enterprises, just over half were founded during the Reform and Opening Up era, particularly during the 1980s and 1990s, and nearly 70 percent of their founders were born in the 1950s and 1960s. The result is a succession wave hitting China’s private sector all at once.
中国正在进入一代人一次的交接潮。大多数 A 股上市公司是民营而非国有,其中相当一部分由家族控制,使家族企业成为中国民营部门的核心支柱。此外,在中国民营企业五百强中,略过半数是改革开放时代创立的,尤其是 1980 和 1990 年代,近 70% 的创始人出生于 1950 和 1960 年代。结果是一场接班浪潮同时冲击中国的民营部门。
Other economies have navigated similar moments: Japan’s postwar conglomerates, Korea’s chaebol, and Europe’s family firms have undergone generational transitions. Those companies, many nearing or surpassing the century mark such as Toyota, Sony, Samsung, Hyundai, Bertelsmann, L’Oréal, IKEA, and ABB, endured not because every successive leader was exceptional, but because the businesses themselves were built to last across different leadership eras.
其他经济体经历过类似的时刻:日本战后的企业集团、韩国的财阀(chaebol)和欧洲的家族企业都经历了代际交接。那些公司——许多接近或超过百年,如丰田、索尼、三星、现代、贝塔斯曼、欧莱雅、宜家和 ABB——之所以存续,不是因为每一任继任领导者都出类拔萃,而是因为这些企业本身被建造成能跨越不同领导时代而长存。
In China, succession challenges are as much structural as personal. The one-child policy, which ran from 1979 through 2015, narrows the pool of potential successors for some companies. Heirs often grow up in environments very different from those of their parents and may be reluctant to take over the business. Formal succession planning remains rare, and many aging founders have little desire to step aside. One founder in his sixties told us, “Today, all kinds of people come see me because I am the chairman. What would I do if I retire? I can’t play golf every day!” Many entrepreneurs also believe medical advances will extend their working lives, and longevity has been a frequent topic of conversation with Chinese founders. The latest trend? Going to Tokyo to get stem cell treatment.
在中国,接班挑战既是结构性的,也是个人性的。从 1979 年到 2015 年的独生子女政策,缩小了一些公司潜在继任者的池子。继承人往往在与父母截然不同的环境中长大,可能不愿意接手企业。正式的接班规划仍然罕见,许多年迈的创始人也不愿让位。一位六十多岁的创始人告诉我们:"如今,形形色色的人来看我,因为我是董事长。我退休了能干什么?我不能天天打高尔夫!"许多企业家还相信医学进步会延长他们的工作寿命,长寿一直是中国创始人经常聊到的话题。最新潮流?去东京做干细胞治疗。
Compounding these challenges are the unprecedented domestic and global pressures facing Chinese businesses. Succession is often deferred and deemed important but not urgent, even though delay only magnifies the risk. “It is a high-stakes decision,” says Acha Leke, a McKinsey senior partner leading the Firm’s global work with family-owned businesses. “After studying more than six hundred family-owned businesses, it’s clear that CEO transition is one of the most consequential decisions. It is also the one with the biggest upside, if done properly.”
让这些挑战雪上加霜的,是中国企业面临的空前国内外压力。接班常常被推迟,被认为重要但不紧急——尽管拖延只会放大风险。"这是一个高风险的决策,"领导麦肯锡全球家族企业业务的资深合伙人阿查·莱克(Acha Leke)说。"在研究六百多家家族企业之后,很清楚 CEO 交接是最重大的决策之一。它也是做对了上行空间最大的决策。"
The long-term solution lies in building governance, systems, and leadership pipelines that outlast founders. These practices are well established in global management science, and more mainland Chinese companies are considering them as they scale and mature. Whether they move fast enough remains uncertain.
长期解决方案在于建设比创始人更持久的治理、系统和领导人才管道。这些做法在全球管理科学中已经很成熟,更多中国大陆公司随着规模化与成熟正在考虑它们。它们是否行动得够快,仍不确定。
接班危机
The Succession Crunch
As McKinsey approached its centenary in 2026, it marked the moment alongside a small peer group: other century-old enterprises. At the Firm’s global partners’ meeting in Chicago, messages streamed in from the CEOs of Delta Air Lines, United Parcel Service, Siemens, Tata Group, AIA, Bancolombia, and others—companies that, across the United States, Europe, India, Singapore, Colombia, and more, have endured multiple economic cycles and transitions.
当麦肯锡在 2026 年接近百年华诞时,它和一小群同类公司一起纪念这个时刻:其他百年企业。在芝加哥的全球合伙人会议上,达美航空、联合包裹(UPS)、西门子、塔塔集团、友邦保险(AIA)、哥伦比亚银行(Bancolombia)等公司的 CEO 发来贺词——这些公司分布在美国、欧洲、印度、新加坡、哥伦比亚等地,经历了多个经济周期和多次交接。
What stood out wasn’t who participated, but who didn’t: no messages from mainland China. This isn’t for a lack of longevity. China has roughly seven hundred nationally recognized “time-honored” brands with histories spanning more than a century; the oldest, Beijing’s chicken-and-duck restaurant Bianyifang, dates back to the Ming dynasty.
引人注目的不是谁参加了,而是谁没有参加:没有来自中国大陆的贺词。这不是因为缺乏长寿。中国有大约七百个国家级"中华老字号"品牌,历史跨越一个多世纪;最古老的北京鸡鸭老店便宜坊(Bianyifang),可以追溯到明朝。
What Chinese companies have largely found challenging was the ability to pair longevity with scale, modern corporate governance, and sustained performance—the combination that turned postwar Japanese and European companies into multinational icons. Almost all of China’s modern large-scale private companies and the majority of our mainland clients are just twenty to forty years old. Many of their founders are in their sixties or seventies, yet remain firmly in control. That share of business originators still at the helm poses a challenge: more than 80 percent of mainland Chinese entrepreneurs say they wish to keep business in the family, but two-thirds lack a formal succession plan—one of the widest gaps anywhere between intention and preparation.
中国公司大多觉得困难的是,把长寿与规模、现代公司治理和持续业绩结合起来——正是这种组合把战后日本和欧洲公司变成跨国偶像。中国几乎所有现代大型民营公司,以及我们大多数大陆客户,都只有二十到四十岁。许多创始人已六七十岁,却仍然牢牢掌舵。仍在掌舵的企业创始人比例构成一个挑战:超过 80% 的中国大陆企业家说他们希望把企业留在家族内,但三分之二没有正式的接班计划——这是世界上意图与准备之间最大的差距之一。
Handovers didn’t happen earlier in part because founders were still young enough, and they found China’s growth wave exhilarating to ride. The need for leadership transition is now arriving at an inconvenient moment, when firms must contend with slowing growth, demographic hurdles, regulatory and geopolitical challenges, and the disruption of generative AI.
交接没有更早发生,部分原因是创始人还足够年轻,而且他们觉得乘上中国增长浪潮令人兴奋。领导权交接的需求如今在一个不便的时刻到来——企业必须应对增长放缓、人口障碍、监管和地缘政治挑战,以及生成式 AI 的颠覆。
It’s not a good time to sell a business, but it’s not a good time to hand one over, either. “These founders stayed in the kitchen and continued to work,” says Bain Capital partner Michael Hui. “But as they ask their kids to step into the ‘current kitchen’ they’re finding it’s really hot now. The first-generation entrepreneurs know the kids might not make it.”
现在不是卖企业的好时机,也不是交班的好时机。"这些创始人待在厨房里继续干活,"贝恩资本合伙人许立庆(Michael Hui)说。"但当他们让孩子走进'现在的厨房'时,他们发现里面真的很烫。第一代企业家知道,孩子们可能撑不下来。"
The scale of this challenge is immense. Chinese family businesses account for roughly half of GDP and generate an even greater share of jobs. What happens when this cohort of founders finally steps back? Can companies built for speed during the golden boom era evolve into enduring institutions?
这个挑战的规模巨大。中国家族企业约占 GDP 的一半,创造的就业份额更高。当这一代创始人最终退下来时,会发生什么?在黄金繁荣时代为速度而建的公司,能进化成持久机构吗?
A generational cliff looms for these businesses. Globally, CEO successions in family-owned businesses tend to destroy value: in a study of more than two hundred transitions, McKinsey found that five-year post-handover performance lagged the prior five years by roughly 6 percentage points in total shareholder value, 2 points in revenue growth, and 3 points in EBITDA growth. In China, these risks are intensified by relationship-driven business norms, a capability gap between generations, institutions built around larger-than-life founders, and other factors.
代际悬崖正逼近这些企业。在全球范围内,家族企业的 CEO 接班往往毁灭价值:在一项对两百多次交接的研究中,麦肯锡发现交接后五年的表现落后于此前五年——股东总价值约 6 个百分点、收入增长 2 个百分点、EBITDA 增长 3 个百分点。在中国,这些风险被关系驱动的商业规范、代际能力差距、围绕传奇创始人建立的制度以及其他因素放大。
We’ll examine each in turn—and outline how transitions can be managed more effectively.
我们将逐一审视这些因素——并概述如何更有效地管理交接。
能力与代际错配
The Capability and Generational Mismatch
We’ve discussed before how sharply today’s young Chinese differ in outlook and circumstances from their parents and their grandparents. “Two generations ago, no one in China had money,” says Louis Cheung of Boyu Capital. “They grew up in completely different cultural contexts. The older generation also wants the younger kids to feel a bit hungry and unstable.”
我们之前讨论过,如今的中国年轻人在观念和境遇上与他们的父母和祖父母有多大的不同。"两代以前,中国没有人有钱,"博裕资本(Boyu Capital)的路易斯·张(Louis Cheung)说。"他们在完全不同的文化背景下长大。老一辈还希望年轻孩子感受到一点饥饿和不稳定。"
We draw this contrast through a mid-sized automotive parts maker. The founder, whom we’ll call Wang, built the business in the 1990s with little capital, weak legal protection, and few rules. When policy windows opened—real estate, exports markets, infrastructure—he moved fast, borrowing heavily when needed. “If you hesitated, the chance was gone,” Wang recalls. Decisions were informal, and relationships were central to how the business operated.
我们通过一家中型汽车零部件制造商来呈现这种对比。我们姑且称创始人为王总,他在 1990 年代以微薄的资本、薄弱的法律保护和很少的规则创立了企业。当政策窗口打开——房地产、出口市场、基础设施——他行动迅速,需要时大举借债。"如果你犹豫,机会就没了,"王总回忆说。决策是非正式的,关系是业务运转的核心。
His son, Xiaocun, would inherit a larger, more regulated, and more exposed enterprise. Like other second-generation heirs— a majority of whom studied overseas—he speaks the language of governance, compliance, and capital markets fluently. “My generation was taught to reduce risk,” Xiaocun says. “Our parents were taught to survive it.” What he struggles with is the all-or-nothing decisions that defined the founder’s rise.
他的儿子晓村将继承一个更大、更规范、风险敞口更大的企业。和其他二代继承人一样——其中大多数在海外留学——他能流利地讲治理、合规和资本市场的语言。"我们这一代被教导要降低风险,"晓村说。"我们的父母被教导要扛过风险。"他难以应付的是定义了创始人崛起的那种孤注一掷的决策。
This contrast can be jarring. Education in China back in the ’70s and ’80s was rudimentary and disparate. While some entrepreneurs in that earlier era may have had a university degree, many did not, and more than a handful were granted honorary doctoral degrees only after they achieved business success. They learned capitalism through improvisation, navigating the rapidly developing business ecosystems and institutions with intuition and personal networks. “Often, the first-generation entrepreneurs do not speak English, but they’re obviously incredibly resourceful and resilient,” observes Mingyu Guan, a McKinsey senior partner leading the Firm’s succession work in China. “Meanwhile, their children have overseas experience. The challenge is figuring out how to use those global capabilities without losing the entrepreneurial instincts that built the company.”
这种对比可能很刺眼。七八十年代中国的教育是初级且参差的。虽然那个较早时代的一些企业家可能拥有大学学位,但许多人没有,而且不止一位是在取得商业成功之后才被授予荣誉博士学位。他们通过即兴发挥学习资本主义,用直觉和个人网络在快速发展的商业生态和制度中闯荡。"通常,第一代企业家不会说英语,但他们显然极其足智多谋、坚韧不拔,"领导麦肯锡中国接班业务的资深合伙人管鸣宇(Mingyu Guan)观察说。"与此同时,他们的孩子有海外经历。挑战在于,如何利用这些全球能力,同时不失去缔造公司的企业家本能。"
Founder Wang worries that his son lacks grit, political sensitivity, and the instinct to act decisively under pressure. Xiaocun, in turn, has questions: Are his father’s business instincts, informal way of decision-making, and penchant for risk-taking still effective in a slower-growth, higher-risk environment?
王总担心儿子缺乏韧性、政治敏感性和在压力下果断行动的本能。反过来,晓村也有疑问:父亲的商业直觉、非正式的决策方式和冒险偏好,在一个增长放缓、风险更高的环境中仍然有效吗?
It’s not surprising that enthusiasm is mixed from both sides. Nearly half of Chinese entrepreneurs express concern about their children’s ability or willingness to take over. The heirs pause, too, with about 45 percent ambivalent or uninterested in stepping into those shoes.
双方热情都不高并不令人意外。近一半的中国企业家对子女接班的能力或意愿表示担忧。继承人也在犹豫,约 45% 对接棒感到矛盾或没兴趣。
“I’m a one-in-a-million success story,” says a successful tycoon who has given up the idea that one of his kids might take over. “In my generation, I was the winner out of millions of others like me and fought my way to the top. Why would my kids, just by virtue of their DNA, be worthy of being a one-in-a-million success? They’re very likely going to underperform me.”
"我是一百万分之一成功故事,"一位已经放弃让孩子接班想法的成功大亨说。"在我这一代,我是几百万同类人中的赢家,一路拼杀到顶端。凭什么我的孩子仅凭 DNA 就配得上成为一百万分之一?他们很可能做得不如我。"
创始人即制度
The Founder as Institution
Many of China’s private companies feel like extensions of the individuals who built them. It’s hard to imagine a JD.com without Richard Liu, a Xiaomi without Lei Jun, or a Huawei without Ren Zhengfei. They might be founders or CEOs, but they’re also much more: symbols of entrepreneurial success and even national pride. The same dynamic plays out across small- and mid-sized firms as well as provincial champions. The scale differs, but the pattern is the same. In this context, succession feels less like a true leadership transition, and in fact can erase the company’s identity.
中国的许多民营企业感觉像是缔造者的延伸。很难想象没有刘强东(Richard Liu)的京东、没有雷军(Lei Jun)的小米、没有任正非(Ren Zhengfei)的华为。他们可能是创始人或 CEO,但他们远不止如此:他们是企业家成功的象征,甚至是国家骄傲。同样的动态也发生在中小企业和省级冠军企业中。规模不同,但模式相同。在这种背景下,接班感觉不太像真正的领导权交接,实际上可能抹去公司的身份。
For outsized founder personalities, the shift to the next generation is both a theoretical and emotional test. The business is their life’s work, with authority and legitimacy residing in the founder rather than in the institution. Stepping aside can feel existential, which is why many opt for half measures without fully letting go—for example, choosing to remain as a chairman or “senior adviser” while appointing co-CEOs, setting up a rotating leadership structure, or engaging in informal power sharing.
对个性极强的创始人来说,向下一代过渡既是理论上的考验,也是情感上的考验。企业是他们毕生的事业,权力和合法性存在于创始人而非制度之中。让位可能感觉像生死攸关,这就是为什么许多人选择不彻底放手的折中措施——例如,在任命联席 CEO、设置轮值领导结构或进行非正式权力分享的同时,选择继续担任董事长或"高级顾问"。
Even when a founder is ready to step back, customers, partners, and employees often take longer to adjust. At Suntar Environmental Technology, a fast-growing Chinese industrial technology company, Yihong Lan is preparing to succeed his father, Weiguang Lan, who built the business around membrane-based separation technologies now used from water treatment to lithium extraction.
即使创始人准备好退后一步,客户、合作伙伴和员工往往需要更长时间来适应。在中国快速成长的工业技术公司 Suntar Environmental Technology,兰一泓(Yihong Lan)正准备接替他父亲兰伟光(Weiguang Lan)——后者围绕膜基分离技术建立了企业,这些技术如今从水处理到锂提取都在使用。
But in the Chinese market, Weiguang’s influence isn’t easily transferred. “His skill set and his reputation are intertwined—you can’t separate the two,” says Yihong. “The way stakeholders deal with me is different precisely because he’s the founder. I don’t have the tools at my disposal that he has.”
但在中国市场,兰伟光的影响力不容易转移。"他的技能和声誉交织在一起——你无法把两者分开,"兰一泓说。"利益相关者对待我的方式不同,恰恰因为他是创始人。我没有他手头那些工具。"
The larger the company, the harder it becomes to resolve this issue. Of course, the next generation might also be less likely to possess “the animal spirit, that entrepreneurial instinct” that engendered success in the first generation, says Sheng Hong, a McKinsey senior partner co-leading the global energy and materials practice. “Will the second generation work as hard? I have my doubts. They’re less hungry than their fathers.”
公司越大,解决这个问题就越难。当然,下一代也更不可能拥有"动物精神、那种企业家本能"——正是这些造就了第一代人的成功,共同领导麦肯锡全球能源与材料业务的资深合伙人洪晟(Sheng Hong)说。"第二代人会一样努力吗?我有疑虑。他们不如父辈饥饿。"
Another dynamic complicates succession: the divide between work and home. Many founders are absolute authorities inside their companies—“God” at work—yet struggle with the one audience they can’t manage: their own children. When founders spend more time in offices and factories than at home, that distance only deepens the gap.
另一个动态让接班复杂化:工作与家庭之间的鸿沟。许多创始人在公司内部是绝对权威——工作时的"上帝"——却在唯一无法管理的观众面前束手无策:自己的孩子。当创始人在办公室和工厂的时间多于在家时,这种距离只会加深鸿沟。
独生子女考量
One-Child Considerations
For some businesses, the one-child policy has removed optionality. (Nevertheless, many entrepreneurs do have more than one child.) In Europe and the United States, leadership can sometimes pass to a second or third child; even when disputes arise, global business dynasties—from Bernard Arnault’s five children at LVMH and Rupert Murdoch’s family at News Corp to the Agnellis at Fiat and the Swires in Hong Kong—benefited from deeper benches. In China, that bench is often non-existent. When the sole heir is uninterested or unprepared, the dilemma becomes acute.
对某些企业来说,独生子女政策已经抹掉了可选项。(不过,许多企业家确实有一个以上的孩子。)在欧洲和美国,领导权有时可以传给第二个或第三个孩子;即使出现争端,全球商业王朝——从 LVMH 伯纳德·阿尔诺(Bernard Arnault)的五个孩子、新闻集团鲁珀特·默多克(Rupert Murdoch)的家族,到菲亚特的阿涅利家族(Agnellis)和香港的施怀雅家族(Swires)——都得益于更深的人才储备。在中国,这种储备往往不存在。当唯一的继承人没兴趣或没准备好时,困境就变得尖锐。
Under these conditions, succession shifts from choice to obligation. Emotional engagement is weak; only 21 percent of Chinese successors report feeling “excited” about taking over, and just 37 percent feel “motivated,” both well below global averages. Heirs carry the full weight of expectation regardless of aptitude or interest. Many also are drawn to technology, global investing, or other non-business fields, rather than traditional sectors such as manufacturing or trading.
在这种条件下,接班从选择变成义务。情感投入很弱:只有 21% 的中国继承人对接手感到"兴奋",仅 37% 感到"有动力",都远低于全球平均水平。无论天资或兴趣如何,继承人背负着全部期望的重量。许多人还被科技、全球投资或其他非商业领域吸引,而不是制造或贸易等传统行业。
潜规则与模糊性
Hidden Rules and Ambiguities
China’s business context is filled with a web of unspoken rules, and who will be next in the leadership role is one of the most sensitive. Indicating interest too directly can be seen as challenging authority—or tempting bad luck. Ambiguity also serves a strategic purpose: when the successor is undefined, senior executives continue to orbit the founder. Siblings and cousins may compete quietly, but few dare to test the patriarch or matriarch openly.
中国的商业环境充满了一张不成文规则之网,而谁是下一任领导者是最敏感的话题之一。太直接地表示兴趣可能被视为挑战权威——或招来霉运。模糊性也有战略目的:当继任者未定,高管们继续围绕创始人运转。兄弟姐妹和堂表亲可能暗中竞争,但很少有人敢公开试探家族的掌门人。
And succession planning isn’t sensitive only at the top. Oftentimes, we find that related discussions run directly against prevailing Chinese corporate culture, where executives are rewarded for emphasizing their uniqueness and irreplaceability. Most Chinese executives try to prove their unique contribution, rather than prepare the next generation to replace them. As one executive, while dismissing our succession project, tells us, “The day I leave, the company founders will see how valuable I am. That’s my legacy—how much I meant to the company. Making myself irrelevant so someone else can take over is simply not a Chinese management virtue.”
而且接班规划不只是顶层敏感。我们常常发现,相关讨论与中国主流企业文化直接相悖——在这种文化里,高管因强调自己的独特性和不可替代性而获得回报。大多数中国高管努力证明自己的独特贡献,而不是培养下一代来接替自己。正如一位高管在婉拒我们的接班项目时告诉我们:"我离开的那天,公司创始人会看到我多有价值。那就是我的传承——我对公司有多重要。让自己变得无足轻重以便别人接手,这根本不是中国的管理美德。"
Over time, the result can be organizational fragility. Rumors replace clarity, loyalty is tested more than capability, and succession becomes a guessing game rather than a managed and structured process. When a health scare or external shock finally forces a transition, there is often no cohesive team ready to step in—only formal titles layered over unresolved tensions. Furthermore, the strengths Chinese founders most want to pass on are the most difficult to institutionalize: government ties, regulatory intuition, and deal-making skills built over decades.
久而久之,结果可能是组织脆弱。谣言取代清晰,忠诚比能力更受考验,接班变成猜谜游戏而不是有管理、有结构的过程。当一场健康危机或外部冲击最终迫使交接时,往往没有一个有凝聚力的团队准备好接手——只有叠在未解决紧张关系之上的正式头衔。此外,中国创始人最想传下去的优势是最难制度化的:政府关系、监管直觉,以及几十年积累的交易能力。
为何接班规划重要——以及该怎么做
Why Succession Planning Is Important—and What to Do About It
Leadership transitions are among the most consequential—and potentially destructive—events in the life of a family-owned business. McKinsey research has found that a transition to a family CEO is least likely to create value; only 29 percent generate positive returns, compared with 39 percent of transitions to non-family CEOs. The upside? When family successions do create value, they outperform: successful transitions to family CEOs generate an average 23 percentage point total shareholder return (TSR) uplift, compared with 15 points for non-family transitions.
领导权交接是家族企业生命周期中最重大——也可能最具破坏性——的事件之一。麦肯锡研究发现,交接给家族 CEO 最不可能创造价值:只有 29% 产生正回报,而交接给非家族 CEO 的比例是 39%。上行空间呢?当家族接班确实创造价值时,它们表现更优:成功交接给家族 CEO 平均带来 23 个百分点的股东总回报(TSR)提升,而非家族交接为 15 个百分点。
In practice, the key questions facing Chinese founders are familiar worldwide. Who should succeed the CEO? Should that person be family or non-family? When should preparation begin, and how should success be measured? How can competing family aspirations be reconciled? As Acha, who leads McKinsey’s global succession work, notes, these questions are universal—even if the context is not.
在实践中,中国创始人面临的关键问题在世界各地都很熟悉。谁应该接替 CEO?应该是家族成员还是非家族成员?准备应该何时开始,成功如何衡量?相互竞争的家族抱负如何调和?正如领导麦肯锡全球接班业务的阿查所指出的,这些问题具有普遍性——即使背景不同。
What often differs is how families approach the answer. Family business adviser Roger King argues that durable leadership depends less on bloodline than on what he calls “CCKP”—commitment, competence, knowledge, and passion from the next generation. When intrinsic motivation is absent, he warns, forcing transitions can destroy value, and sometimes the business itself. In such cases, preserving the “business family” may matter more than preserving the “family business.” “Why force the next generation to run the company? It may be far better for the family to sell the business and manage the wealth,” Roger explains. Some families respond by separating ownership from management or by creating family investment vehicles that allow the next generation to pursue entrepreneurial paths without being locked into predefined roles.
常常不同的,是家族如何面对答案。家族企业顾问金乐琦认为,持久的领导力更多取决于他所说的"CCKP"——下一代人的承诺(commitment)、能力(competence)、知识(knowledge)和热情(passion)——而不是血缘。他警告说,当内在动力缺失时,强行交接可能毁灭价值,有时甚至毁灭企业本身。在这种情况下,保全"商业家族"可能比保全"家族企业"更重要。"为什么强迫下一代经营公司?对家族来说,卖掉企业、管理财富可能好得多,"金乐琦解释说。一些家族的做法是把所有权与管理权分离,或创建家族投资工具,让下一代可以在不被锁进预设角色的情况下追求创业道路。
There’s no one-size-fits-all answer. Instead, successful transitions rely on a multidimensional framework that treats succession not as a single event but as a long-term organizational capability involving disciplined execution of a small set of critical practices. At their core: a shift away from personality-driven leadership toward institutionalization that embeds continuity; professionalization that upgrades leadership capability; and governance that clearly defines power.
没有放之四海而皆准的答案。相反,成功的交接依赖于一个多维框架——它不把接班当作单一事件,而是当作一种长期组织能力,涉及对一小套关键实践的有纪律执行。其核心是:从人格驱动的领导转向嵌入连续性的制度化;升级领导力的专业化;以及清晰界定权力的治理。
制度化:比创始人更持久的系统
Institutionalization: Systems That Outlast the Founder
Marvin Bower, the Harvard-trained lawyer who shaped McKinsey into a professional institution in the mid-twentieth century, believed that leadership wasn’t about personal power but rather building organizations that endure. A company is truly well led, Marvin often said, only if it continues to perform when the leader is no longer present.
马文·鲍尔(Marvin Bower)——这位哈佛训练出的律师在二十世纪中叶把麦肯锡塑造成一个专业机构——相信领导力不在于个人权力,而在于建设能够长存的组织。马文常说,一家公司只有在领导者不在时仍能继续良好运转,才算真正被领导得很好。
For many Chinese founders, building systems, rules, operating logic, and processes that operate independently of the individual feels unfamiliar. Most grew their companies without exposure to large organizations with mature management infrastructure; hence what outsiders call “institutional discipline” can look like bureaucracy.
对许多中国创始人来说,建立独立于个人运转的系统、规则、经营逻辑和流程,感觉很陌生。大多数人成长公司时,没有接触过拥有成熟管理基础设施的大型组织;因此,外人所说的"制度纪律"在他们看来可能像官僚主义。
Yet institutionalization is precisely what allows companies to outlast their founders—and eventually to endure for decades. When a founder’s knowledge and values are embedded into systems, employees’ loyalty can then more easily shift from an individual to a mission, rules, and defined roles. Decision-making rights are made explicit. Regular management rhythms replace ad hoc directives. Critical relationships with regulators, customers, suppliers, and partners are transferred from personal networks to formal roles. The test is simple: If the founder disappears for six months, does the company still function?
然而,制度化恰恰是让公司超越创始人——并最终存续几十年的东西。当创始人的知识和价值观被嵌入系统,员工的忠诚就能更容易地从个人转向使命、规则和明确定义的岗位。决策权变得明确。规律的管理节奏取代临时指令。与监管者、客户、供应商和合作伙伴的关键关系,从个人网络转移到正式岗位。检验很简单:如果创始人消失六个月,公司还能正常运转吗?
Some Chinese leaders have embraced this concept. Lenovo founder Liu Chuanzhi made the principle explicit early on. “ No matter how excellent executives’ children are, they are uniformly not allowed into the company,” he said in a 2012 interview, describing an effort to preserve fairness and motivation, even at personal cost. Haier founder Zhang Ruimin put it more starkly: “ The greatest failure of a leader is to make himself irreplaceable.”
一些中国领导者拥抱了这个概念。联想创始人柳传志(Liu Chuanzhi)很早就明确了这一原则。"无论高管的孩子多么优秀,一律不允许进入公司,"他在 2012 年的一次采访中说,描述了一种即使付出个人代价也要维护公平和激励的努力。海尔创始人张瑞敏(Zhang Ruimin)说得更直白:"领导者最大的失败,是让自己变得不可替代。"
Such ideas often clash with leaders’ intuition. Over the years, our Chinese clients have always asked us about McKinsey’s values. When we explain one of the Firm’s core tenets—that leaders should leave the institution stronger than they found it and that senior roles rotate every few years—the reaction is usually disbelief. “Rotate—even if the leader is doing a great job?” one entrepreneur asks. “That doesn’t make sense.” That discomfort is the price of building something that lasts.
这样的想法常常与领导者的直觉冲突。多年来,我们的中国客户总是问我们麦肯锡的价值观。当我们解释公司的核心信条之一——领导者应该把机构建设得比接手时更强,高级职位每隔几年轮换——反应通常是难以置信。"轮换——即使领导者干得很好?"一位企业家问。"这说不通。"那种不适感,是建设能够长久之物的代价。
专业化:合适的人放在合适的岗位
Professionalization: The Right People for the Right Roles
Professionalization, in turn, is about upgrading the quality and independence of the leadership team. It marks a shift from a world where “the boss knows everything” to one in which technocrats, functional specialists, and professional managers have real authority—a move from intuition to the science of management. In practice, that means clarifying performance expectations and incentives, strengthening boards and oversight, and empowering managers to make decisions that may diverge from the founder’s instincts.
反过来,专业化关乎提升领导团队的质量和独立性。它标志着从"老板什么都懂"的世界,转向技术官僚、职能专家和职业经理人拥有真正权威的世界——从直觉走向管理的科学。在实践中,这意味着明确绩效期望和激励、强化董事会和监督,并授权经理做出可能与创始人直觉相悖的决策。
In a firm’s early years, it’s natural to rely on a small group of veterans who were “there from the beginning.” Loyalty and shared hardship matter when firms are young. But as the complexity of the business grows and regulations tighten, leadership must be based on expertise, not tenure or personal relationships. In many cases, a transition needs to involve the entire leadership team—not just the top spot.
在公司早期,依靠一小群"从一开始就在"的老兵是很自然的。忠诚和同甘共苦在公司年轻时很重要。但随着业务复杂性增长、监管收紧,领导必须基于专长,而不是资历或个人关系。在许多情况下,交接需要涉及整个领导团队——而不只是最高位置。
“It’s hard to accomplish a good succession because we’re often also talking about the first-generation founding team,” says Leon Meng of Ascendant Capital Partners. “If you look at the head of procurement, head of manufacturing, head of this and that—all those are the ‘battle brothers’ who endured hardship together. How do you uproot this?”
"要做好接班很难,因为我们常常也在讨论第一代创始团队,"Ascendant Capital Partners 的利昂·孟(Leon Meng)说。"看看采购负责人、制造负责人、这个那个的负责人——那些人都是同甘共苦的'战友兄弟'。你怎么把他们连根拔起?"
“Company culture should treat leadership as a responsibility rather than a birthright or privilege,” says Acha. “Then considering a broad pool of candidates becomes natural; whether a family member actually wants the responsibility should also be taken into account.”
"公司文化应该把领导视为一种责任,而不是与生俱来的权利或特权,"阿查说。"这样,考虑广泛的人才池就变得自然;家族成员是否真的想要这份责任,也应该被纳入考量。"
The ultimate test as to whether transition works is confidence beyond the founder: investors, employees, and customers believing in the company’s prospects, with valuation and reputation no longer tethered to a single person.
交接是否成功的最终检验,是创始人之外的信心:投资者、员工和客户相信公司的前景,估值和声誉不再系于单一个人。
None of that requires abandoning family ownership. Globally and in China, models range from full family control to hybrid structures in which families set strategy through boards while professionals run operations. New Hope and Lee Kum Kee sit at the family-led end; Lenovo, Alibaba, and Haier are professionally managed; Haidilao occupies the middle.
这些都不需要放弃家族所有权。在全球和中国,模式从完全的家族控制,到家族通过董事会制定战略、专业人士经营运营的混合结构。新希望和李锦记(Lee Kum Kee)处于家族主导的一端;联想、阿里巴巴和海尔是专业管理;海底捞(Haidilao)居中。
Choosing executives who can thrive within these structures can be tricky. Frank Tang, co-founder of FountainVest Partners, tells us, “We have tried to find professional managers to replace entrepreneurs, but it’s really hard. You can find the best résumés—the multinational-trained executives, the foreign-educated returnees—but they may not have the entrepreneurial spirit to grow the company. Further, the bench of successful professional executives in China is just not as deep as we would like to see.” It is all relative. Alwin Poon, a former managing director of Carlyle, thinks China’s professional talent pool is improving, with an “increasing rank of professional managers to choose from, many coming out of professional services and multinationals.”
挑选能在这些结构中茁壮成长的高管可能很棘手。方源资本(FountainVest Partners)联合创始人唐葵(Frank Tang)告诉我们:"我们试过找职业经理人来替代企业家,但这真的很难。你能找到最漂亮的简历——跨国公司培养的高管、海归——但他们可能没有发展公司的企业家精神。此外,中国成功的职业高管储备没有我们希望的那样深厚。"一切都是相对的。凯雷前董事总经理潘威良(Alwin Poon)认为中国的专业人才库在改善,"可选职业经理人的层级在上升,许多人来自专业服务公司和跨国公司"。
本该简单的事往往复杂
What Should Be Simple Is Often Complex
Even when the right candidates exist, bringing them in is rarely straightforward. First, recruiting top talent is costly: building leadership depth requires market-level pay, which can challenge cost-conscious founders. Progress often begins with making moves in finance and accounting—for example, through the early hiring of professional CFOs—while other functions such as HR and organizational development lag.
即使合适的候选人存在,引进他们也很少是直截了当的。首先,招聘顶尖人才成本高昂:建设领导深度需要市场水平的薪酬,这会挑战精打细算的创始人。进展往往从财务和会计领域的动作开始——例如,早期聘请专业的 CFO——而人力资源和组织发展等其他职能则滞后。
Longtime executives might represent barriers to this process. One client’s CFO began as the accountant when the business was a ten-person restaurant in Guangdong. The company now exceeds $1 billion in revenue with more than fifty thousand employees, yet this now-CFO retains the founder’s full trust. “If this person stays in the position, how can we recruit top finance talent?” the next generation asks, having lobbied for her retirement for years without success.
长期高管可能是这个过程的障碍。一位客户的 CFO 在业务还是一家广东十人餐馆时就开始做会计。公司如今收入超过 10 亿美元、员工超过五万,然而这位现 CFO 仍保有创始人的完全信任。"如果这个人继续留在位置上,我们怎么招聘顶尖财务人才?"下一代发问——他们多年来游说让她退休,始终没有成功。
Companies should focus on a few core questions as decisions are made about personnel in the run-up to succession: Are roles matched to capability rather than lineages? Are successor candidates evaluated through disciplined, competitive processes that include family, internal, and external talent? Is there a deep, complementary leadership bench to support the next CEO and reduce reliance on any single individual?
在接班临近之际做出人事决策时,公司应聚焦几个核心问题:岗位是否与能力匹配,而非与血缘匹配?继任候选人是否通过有纪律的竞争性流程评估——涵盖家族、内部和外部人才?是否存在深厚、互补的领导储备来支持下一任 CEO、减少对任何单一个人的依赖?
治理:谁有权、谁负责?
Governance: Who Has Power and Accountability?
Governance is about who holds authority, how it’s exercised, and how conflicts are resolved. Without it, neither institutionalization nor professionalization is durable. While the founder is present, ambiguity is often tolerated. Once the question of “who leads next?” arises, unresolved issues surface fast: who decides, who can veto, and whose interests prevail. As one entrepreneur put it, “Two brothers founded the company. Each has children. Now there are four potential successors. Who does what—and how do you keep the company intact?”
治理关乎谁掌握权力、权力如何行使、冲突如何解决。没有治理,制度化和专业化都不可持续。创始人还在时,模糊性常常被容忍。一旦"谁接任"的问题出现,未解决的议题很快浮出水面:谁决定、谁能否决、谁的利益优先。正如一位企业家所说:"两兄弟创办了公司。各自都有孩子。现在有四个潜在继承人。谁做什么——又如何保持公司完整?"
Most founders we know understand the need for rules, boards, and checks. The difficulty lies in making those mechanisms neutral and enforceable. This is where boards matter. In theory, they are neutral arbiters—overseeing the organization, setting its direction, and ensuring accountability while leaving day-to-day management to executives. In practice, many boards in Chinese private companies remain symbolic, dominated by family members or longtime loyalists with limited independence or authority. When boards lack real power, succession devolves into informal bargaining, driven more by relationships than by capability or long-term fit.
我们认识的大多数创始人都理解规则、董事会和制衡的必要性。困难在于让这些机制保持中立且可执行。这就是董事会重要的地方。理论上,它们是中立的仲裁者——监督组织、设定方向、确保问责,同时把日常管理留给高管。实践中,许多中国民营公司的董事会仍然是象征性的,由家族成员或长期亲信主导,独立性和权威有限。当董事会缺乏真正的权力时,接班就退化为非正式博弈,更多由关系而非能力或长期契合度驱动。
Effective stewardship requires clarity before it’s needed. Decision rights must be explicit. Roles must be clearly demarcated. Mechanisms for resolving conflict—between siblings, branches of a family, or family and management—must exist in advance so leadership transitions are accepted as legitimate and final. Structure cannot guarantee harmony—but it can prevent chaos. As one adviser puts it: “If you don’t fix governance, it doesn’t matter how well you prepare for a transition; the whole thing can be overturned the next day should someone inherit power and decide to do things differently.”
有效的管家责任要求在需要之前就确立清晰。决策权必须明确。角色必须清晰划分。解决冲突的机制——兄弟姐妹之间、家族分支之间、或家族与管理层之间——必须提前存在,这样领导权交接才能被接受为合法且最终。结构不能保证和谐——但它能防止混乱。正如一位顾问所说:"如果你不解决治理问题,交接准备得再好也没用;一旦有人继承权力并决定改变做法,整个安排第二天就可能被推翻。"
Chinese family businesses face an added dilemma: formal boards and governance structures are often seen more as Western imports than culturally-rooted solutions. They’re also seen as overly rigid. The real challenge is finding that middle ground that will support succession and accountability without eroding cultural legitimacy or founder authority.
中国家族企业面临一个额外的两难:正式的董事会和治理结构常常被视为西方的舶来品,而非植根于文化的解决方案。它们也被视为过于僵化。真正的挑战在于找到那个中间地带——既能支持接班和问责,又不会侵蚀文化合法性或创始人权威。
已在转型中:从创始人本能到制度领导
Already in Transition: From Founder’s Instinct to Institutional Leadership
Elsewhere in the Chinese business world, this transition is further along. In Taiwan, family-controlled groups such as Fubon Financial, CTBC Bank (formerly Chinatrust Commercial Bank), and Cathay Financial Holdings have navigated multi-generational transitions. In Hong Kong, firms like CK Hutchison Holdings have long operated with professionalized management and formal governance. Formed earlier, these companies have had decades to institutionalize.
在中国商业世界的其他地方,这种转型走得更远。在中国台湾,富邦金控(Fubon Financial)、中国信托银行(CTBC Bank,前身中华信托商业银行)和国泰金控(Cathay Financial Holdings)等家族控制集团已走过多代交接。在中国香港,长江和记实业(CK Hutchison Holdings)等公司长期以专业化管理和正式治理运营。由于成立更早,这些公司有几十年的时间来制度化。
For Elmer Cheng, who left Merrill Lynch in New York to become CEO of his Hong Kong family business, Polygroup, the early challenge wasn’t competence but rather legitimacy in the eyes of his father’s longtime lieutenants. Polygroup traces its roots back to his grandfather’s 1960s Hong Kong workshop selling silk flowers by the stem; his father, Wai (Paul) Cheng, later transformed the business after watching his young sons beg for a “too expensive” artificial Christmas tree they’d seen at a Hudson’s Bay store in Canada—prompting him to vow to make one himself. With the “one-man-show” instincts of a founder, Paul built Polygroup into the world’s largest artificial Christmas tree manufacturer, driving explosive growth as he shifted production from Hong Kong to Thailand, Indonesia, Mexico, and mainland China, and also expanded into new product lines such as summer inflatables.
对离开纽约美林、出任香港家族企业 Polygroup CEO 的埃尔默·郑(Elmer Cheng)来说,早期的挑战不是能力,而是在父亲多年老部下眼中的合法性。Polygroup 的根源可以追溯到祖父 1960 年代在香港卖单枝绢花的小作坊;他的父亲郑伟(Wai "Paul" Cheng)后来改变了这家企业——起因是看到年幼的儿子们央求买一棵在加拿大哈德逊湾百货商店看到、却"太贵"的人造圣诞树,他发誓要自己做一棵。带着创始人的"独角戏"本能,保罗把 Polygroup 做成全球最大的人造圣诞树制造商,把生产从香港转移到泰国、印度尼西亚、墨西哥和中国大陆,并扩展到夏季充气产品等新品类,驱动爆发式增长。
When Elmer became CEO at thirty-six, he felt like slinking out the very first time he stepped into the company boardroom. “Huge imposter syndrome,” Elmer says. “Not knowing if I could lead, not knowing if my peers, all these older ‘generals’ who’d followed my dad for twenty, thirty years, would respect me.” He also felt like he’d “lost a father and gained a boss—and family gatherings sometimes felt like I was having dinner with my shareholders.”
当埃尔默三十六岁成为 CEO 时,他第一次走进公司董事会会议室就恨不得溜走。"强烈的冒充者综合征,"埃尔默说。"不知道我能不能领导,不知道我那些前辈——追随我父亲二三十年的老'将军'们——会不会尊重我。"他还感觉像是"失去了父亲、多了一个老板——家庭聚会有时感觉像是和股东共进晚餐"。
Yet Elmer slowly put in place the structures to help guarantee the company thrives in his generation and beyond. He’s already thinking about his fourth-generation son, hoping he’ll have the freedom to choose his own path, but also trying to raise him with humility: “I tell my son, ‘I had to wait until I was a teenager before I got real soccer cleats. I even slept with my first pair,’ ” Elmer says. His son now does the same.
然而埃尔默慢慢地建立了结构,以帮助确保公司在他这一代及以后繁荣。他已经在考虑他的第四代儿子,希望儿子有自由选择自己的道路,但也努力用谦逊教育他:"我对儿子说,'我到十几岁才穿上真正的足球鞋。我甚至抱着第一双鞋睡觉,'"埃尔默说。他的儿子现在也这样做。
Mainland firms are now beginning the same shift from founder-style leadership. In Shanghai, Kelvin Pan’s path to leadership at AAC Technologies—Apple’s largest supplier of acoustic components, haptics, and precision mechanical parts—began with a call from his father, Zhengmin (Benjamin) Pan, to join the family business. In his twenties, Kelvin returned to China from Boston, where he’d studied math and computer science at Boston University and had planned to launch a start-up in the venture capital ecosystem there.
内地公司如今也开始从创始人式领导向同样的转型。在上海,凯尔文·潘(Kelvin Pan)通往瑞声科技(AAC Technologies)——苹果最大的声学组件、触感和精密机械零部件供应商——领导岗位的道路,始于父亲潘政民(Zhengmin "Benjamin" Pan)打来电话让他加入家族企业。二十多岁时,凯尔文从波士顿回到中国——他在波士顿大学学习数学和计算机科学,原本计划在那里风险投资生态中创办一家初创公司。
At AAC, Kelvin began in IT in 2014, went on to oversee a hundred engineers in R&D, and gradually moved into business operations, where he observed AAC sales teams repeatedly falling short in the smartphone business— their goal of achieving 30 billion RMB (about $4 billion) in annual sales often yielding only about 60 percent of the targets they’d set. It was an experience he found “deeply frustrating,” he recalls. “That happened for a few years in a row. It wasn’t a market issue—it was about how we operated.” Kelvin pushed his father and internal advisers for changes in R&D, strategy, and organization. In parallel, he set AAC’s Android motor business on a path to a fifty-fold expansion, reaching roughly 1 billion RMB ($143 million) in revenues today.
在瑞声,凯尔文 2014 年从 IT 做起,后来负责管理研发部门的百名工程师,逐步进入业务运营——在那里他观察到瑞声销售团队在智能手机业务中屡屡不达标:年销售 300 亿元人民币(约 40 亿美元)的目标,往往只完成约 60%。那是一段他觉得"深感沮丧"的经历,他回忆说。"连续几年都是这样。不是市场的问题——是我们运营方式的问题。"凯尔文推动父亲和内部顾问在研发、战略和组织上做出改变。与此同时,他把瑞声的安卓马达业务带上五十倍扩张之路,如今收入约达 10 亿元人民币(1.43 亿美元)。
It was a milestone. “Once you start managing the business and getting results, you gain credibility,” Kelvin says. By 2022, he was overseeing all business units and driving expansion into new products and markets. “There’s no straightforward answer to succession,” he admits. “It’s about how you grow, and integrate, and take on more responsibility as you go.”
那是一个里程碑。"一旦你开始管理业务并取得成果,你就获得了信誉,"凯尔文说。到 2022 年,他负责所有业务单元,推动向新产品和新市场扩张。"接班没有直接的答案,"他承认。"它关乎你如何成长、如何融入,并在过程中承担更多责任。"
机遇:下一代能做得更好的事
The Opportunity: What the Next Generation Can Do Better
Succession in China is often framed as a liability. The stories in this chapter suggest a different way of seeing it—as a rare opportunity for second-generation leaders to bring new capabilities into businesses that saw success in a very different era. That shift matters as Chinese companies increasingly expand abroad, says Mingyu, who leads McKinsey’s China succession work.
中国的接班常被视为一种负担。本章的故事提示了一种不同的看法——把它看作一个难得的机会:二代领导者把新能力带入那些在截然不同时代取得成功的业务中。随着中国企业越来越多地出海扩张,这种转变很重要,领导麦肯锡中国接班业务的管鸣宇说。
“The parents have proven themselves in China, but, given the business context now, it’s impossible for their kids to be even more successful within China,” he says. “The only way forward is to move the goalpost: ‘what you did in China, I can do worldwide.’ It’s a mandate to go global.” The prospect of globally-educated, next-generation CEOs transforming traditional Chinese corporates into the next multinationals from China is exciting.
"父母在中国证明了自己,但鉴于现在的商业环境,他们的孩子在中国境内几乎不可能取得更大成功,"他说。"唯一的出路是移动球门柱:'你在中国做到的,我在全世界做到。'这是一种出海使命。"受过全球教育、懂外语的二代 CEO 把中国传统企业改造成中国下一批跨国公司的前景,令人兴奋。
That’s exactly what Yihong, the second-generation leader at Suntar, is doing. Fluent in Mandarin and English and experienced across Asia and the United States, he is leading the company’s push beyond China. “Culturally, it’s easier for me than for my father to adapt to how business is done with clients outside China,” he says. “I have fewer preconceptions in terms of how things should work; by contrast, in China, I’d never be as effective as my father.”
这正是 Suntar 的二代领导者兰一泓在做的事。普通话和英语流利、在亚洲和美国都有经验,他正带领公司向中国之外推进。"在文化上,适应与中国以外客户做生意的方式,我比父亲更容易,"他说。"我对事情应该怎么运作的先入之见更少;相比之下,在中国,我永远不可能像父亲那样高效。"
Managing a successful transition, however, takes time. In a structure we expect will be increasingly common, Yihong sits on the board while a trusted management team runs day-to-day operations as part of a phased handover. He won’t take the top role for another five to ten years.
然而,管理成功的交接需要时间。在一个我们预期会越来越常见的结构中,兰一泓在董事会任职,而一个受信任的管理团队作为分阶段交接的一部分运营日常事务。他还要五到十年才会接任最高职位。
For private equity firms and companies looking for consolidation opportunities, the coming succession wave presents an intriguing proposition. As founders age and families reassess their priorities, many businesses that were never intended for sale may come onto the market. “If the next generation has interest in other areas, which may have even higher potential, why do they have to stick with the old business?” says family-owned business adviser Roger King. “Why wouldn’t selling the business at the right time, at the right price, be a good choice?” Increasingly, families may conclude that liquidity and diversification matter more than preserving direct control.
对于寻找整合机会的私募股权公司和公司来说,即将到来的接班浪潮提出了一个耐人寻味的命题。随着创始人老去、家族重新评估优先级,许多从未打算出售的企业可能进入市场。"如果下一代对可能潜力更高的其他领域感兴趣,为什么他们必须守着旧业务?"家族企业顾问金乐琦说。"在合适的时间、以合适的价格卖掉企业,为什么不是好选择?"越来越多地,家族可能会得出结论:流动性和多元化比保持直接控制更重要。
But for buyers of these businesses, the purchase decision is only the beginning. Private equity firms still face a hard question: Who runs the company next? In some cases, PE owners retain the founding team for a transition period, pairing them with professional managers to institutionalize operations, governance, and incentives. In other situations, founders exit entirely, forcing investors to recruit outside leadership—a tall order in markets with a scarcity of seasoned operators who can step into founder-led businesses.
但对这些企业的买家来说,购买决定只是开始。私募股权公司仍面临一个难题:接下来谁运营公司?在某些情况下,PE 所有者让创始团队保留一个过渡期,把他们与职业经理人配对,以制度化运营、治理和激励。在另一些情况下,创始人完全退出,迫使投资者从外部招募领导层——在缺乏能接手创始人主导企业的资深运营者的市场里,这是一个艰巨的任务。
Monetization remains the final hurdle. IPOs, trade sales, and secondary buyouts are all possible, but none is guaranteed. Investors are underwriting longer holding periods and prioritizing businesses that can survive leadership transitions, not just deliver near-term gains. In China’s succession wave, private equity’s advantage will rest not on capital alone but on its ability to supply governance, talent, and a credible path from founder-led growth to institution-led durability.
变现仍然是最后的障碍。IPO、并购出售和二手收购都可能,但没有一个是保证的。投资者正在承保更长的持有期,优先考虑能够挺过领导权交接的企业,而不仅仅能带来短期收益的企业。在中国的接班浪潮中,私募股权的优势将不只依靠资本,而在于它提供治理、人才,以及从创始人主导的增长到制度主导的持久性之间的可信路径的能力。
At this juncture in China’s history, there are more questions than answers. Will this generation of family-owned businesses survive their founders? How many businesses will celebrate their one hundredth anniversary? In contrast, how many will follow the path of the Chinese proverb that asserts, “wealth doesn’t last more than three generations?”
在中国历史的这个节点,问题多于答案。这一代家族企业能熬过它们的创始人吗?有多少企业能庆祝自己的百年华诞?相比之下,又有多少会走上那句中国谚语断言的道路:"富不过三代"?
We are only beginning to see how the next era will unfold.
我们才刚刚开始看到下一个时代将如何展开。